Did you back Arsenal to beat Everton at Half Time @5/4 ?

Posted on: December 14th, 2016 by Jonny Grossmark

In the table below I have added all the games since 2014-2015 in the Premier League where the away team opened the scoring in the 0-20 minutes time band and 1-1 half time ;

13-16-8 <> away teams won 22% <> 1/ 0.22 = 7/2

At half time Arsenal were offered at 5/4 which gives the inference that they were not offering any value and we can also look at the table below where the away teams were priced at odds on before the game started ( the perceived stronger )

2-1 1-3 1-1 1-2 3-1 1-1 1-1 <> the away teams won 29% <> 1/0.29 = 5/2

Summary

When you bet in play you should acknowledge that the perceived strength of a team can be weakened /strengthened by the variables that may occur during a game which you should factor before triggering your in play bets .

49% of the games in the table below produced a goal(s) 80 + minutes

T T+1 FT Goal 80+
Everton Arsenal 20 44 2 1 86 310/100 137/50 23/25
Watford Everton 17 36 3 2 86 113/50 231/100 67/50
Man UTD West Ham 2 21 1 1 70/200 89/20 811/100
Chelsea Spurs 11 45 2 1 71/100 57/20 437/100
Swansea Palace 19 36 5 4 82849090 42/25 227/100 91/50
Leicester Boro 13 34 2 2 90 91/100 120/50 181/50
Swansea Man City 9 13 1 3 401/50 117/25 17/50
Arsenal South 18 29 2 1 90 31/50 301/100 101/20
Boro Palace 16 38 1 2 70/50 54/25 58/25
Swansea Man City 5 45 1 1 291/50 79/20 23/50
Newcastle Man City 14 31 1 1 523/100 347/100 110/200
Man City WBA 6 19 2 1 70/200 427/100 913/100
Chelsea West Ham 17 45 2 2 89 81/100 271/100 371/100
Palace Watford 16 45 1 2 82 60/50 56/25 269/100
Sunderland Bourne 13 45 1 1 89/50 233/100 42/25
Watford Spurs 17 41 1 2 89 56/25 119/50 27/20
WBA Spurs 15 39 1 1 181/50 267/100 83/100
Villa Watford 17 41 2 3 85 89 44/25 219/100 179/100
Man City Newcastle 18 42 6 1 23/100 299/50 243/20
West Ham Norwich 9 33 2 2 83 90 50/40 49/20 59/25
Norwich Stoke 11 28 1 1 117/100 237/100 129/50
Palace Arsenal 16 28 1 2 104/25 297/100 70/100
Stoke Sunderland 1 27 1 1 41/50 61/25 409/100
Newcastle South 14 29 1 2 93/50 110/50 42/25
Newcastle Everton 5 34 3 2 84 79/50 47/20 37/20
South Man UTD 12 31 1 2 189/100 119/50 77/50
Villa Leicester 13 17 2 1 147/100 231/100 203/100
WHU Swansea 19 41 3 1 87 27/20 47/20 221/100
Palace Liverpool 2 17 3 1 81 63/20 251/100 97/100
Man City Swansea 9 19 2 1 90/250 87/20 787/100
QPR Stoke 11 42 2 2 88 177/100 53/25 91/50
Chelsea Swansea 11 45 4 2 81 86 80/250 219/50 981/100
Sunderland Spurs 2 4 2 2 82 269/100 61/25 111/100
Leicester Arsenal 20 22 1 1 82/25 51/20 91/100
Newcastle Palace 1 37 3 3 88 90 69/100 67/25 467/100
Sunderland Man UTD 17 30 1 1 222/50 151/50 33/50
WBA Sunderland 5 42 2 2 85 111/100 59/25 69/25