Chelsea Away in the Premier League 0-1 HT Goal 0-20 V 0-1 HT Goal 21-HT <> CONTEXT DATA

Posted on: January 15th, 2017 by Jonny Grossmark

At half time in the game between Leicester and Chelsea over 2.5 goals was offered at 11/8 > What factors does the betting industry in play algorithm use to produce the prices for the goal totals ?

In the table below I have added the last 20 games in the Premier League where Chelsea opened the scoring away in the 0-20 minutes time band and 0-1 half time , 65% ended over 2.5 goals , 1/0.65 = 4/7

The last 20 away games played by Chelsea when they opened the scoring in the 21 minutes to half time band and were winning 1-0 at half time , 35% ended over 2.5 goals , 1/0.35 = 15/8

-” and the fixation that once in the dressing room at HT, a team trailing 0-1 that was scored against at 9 minutes is different than a team that was scored on at 23 minutes.”

http://green-all-over.blogspot.co.uk/2014/12/context-blindness.html

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T HT FT T HT FT
Leicester Chelsea 6 0 1 0 3 Palace Chelsea 43 0 1 0 1
South Chelsea 6 0 1 0 2 Sunderland Chelsea 40 0 1 0 1
Swansea Chelsea 18 0 1 2 2 Boro Chelsea 41 0 1 0 1
Villa Chelsea 8 0 1 1 2 Liverpool Chelsea 32 0 1 1 1
Stoke Chelsea 2 0 1 0 2 Arsenal Chelsea 23 0 1 0 1
Palace Chelsea 6 0 1 1 2 Palace Chelsea 29 0 1 0 3
Norwich Chelsea 4 0 1 1 3 WHU Chelsea 22 0 1 0 1
WHU Chelsea 13 0 1 3 1 Liverpool Chelsea 45 0 1 0 2
Spurs Chelsea 17 0 1 2 4 WBA Chelsea 45 0 1 1 1
Villa Chelsea 9 0 1 2 4 Man City Chelsea 32 0 1 0 1
Sunderland Chelsea 18 0 1 1 2 Liverpool Chelsea 26 0 1 2 2
Blackpool Chelsea 20 0 1 1 3 Reading Chelsea 45 0 1 2 2
Man UTD Chelsea 20 0 1 1 2 Stoke Chelsea 45 0 1 0 4
Blackburn Chelsea 6 0 1 1 1 Norwich Chelsea 38 0 1 0 1
Villa Chelsea 19 0 1 0 1 Fulham Chelsea 45 0 1 1 1
Hull Chelsea 3 0 1 0 3 Newcastle Chelsea 38 0 1 0 3
Boro Chelsea 14 0 1 0 5 Wigan Chelsea 34 0 1 0 6
Wigan Chelsea 5 0 1 0 1 Liverpool Chelsea 33 0 1 0 2
Man City Chelsea 6 0 1 0 2 Portsmouth Chelsea 32 0 1 0 5
Sunderland Chelsea 10 0 1 0 1 Wolves Chelsea 40 0 1 0 2