Arsenal conceding the opening Goal Away in the League in the 0-10 Minutes Time Band since 2003-2004

Posted on: March 5th, 2017 by Jonny Grossmark

In the table below I have added all the games since 2003-2004 where Arsenal conceded the opening goal away in the league in the 0-10 minutes time band and 85% ended over 2.5 goals

12-5-3 <> Arsenal lost 60%

Both teams scored in 90%

Game Pathway

> 2-0 < 12/20 > 11-1-0 > home teams won 92%

> 1-1 < 8/20 > 1-4-3 > home teams won 12.5%

At 1-0 Arsenal were offered at 6/5 to score the second goal , 8/20 = 40% , 1/0.4 = 6/4

In the Premier League last season where the home teams opened the scoring with a goal in the 0-10 minutes time band, 73% ended over 2.5 goals and 51% ended over 3.5 goals

Both teams scored in 56% and over 1.5 goals was landed in the first half in 73%

The home teams won 78%, 15% ended a DRAW and the away teams won 7% < lowered expectation of the games ending a DRAW GAME PATHWAY 3/41 1-0 FT 26/41 > 2-0 24-2-0 <> home teams won 92%

12/41 > 1-1 5-4-3 home teams won 42%

In effect the market had much higher expectation of Arsenal scoring the second goal given the fact that the opening goal in the Premier League by the home team in the 0-10 minutes time band and the home team is far more likely to score the second goal in general which is why in this profile you will see lowered expectation of a draw .

T T+1 HT FT
Liverpool Arsenal 9 H40 2 0 3 1
Man City Arsenal 8 A10 1 1 2 2
Liverpool Arsenal 10 A14 2 2 3 3
Stoke Arsenal 1 H35 3 0 3 2
Chelsea Arsenal 5 H7 4 0 6 0
Liverpool Arsenal 1 H10 4 0 5 1
Chelsea Arsenal 6 H16 2 0 2 1
Man UTD Arsenal 3 H67 1 0 2 1
Stoke Arsenal 10 A15 1 1 1 1
WBA Arsenal 4 H57 1 0 2 2
Spurs Arsenal 10 H47 1 0 2 1
Stoke Arsenal 8 A32 1 1 1 3
Chelsea Arsenal 8 H23 2 0 2 0
Boro Arsenal 4 H73 1 0 2 1
Liverpool Arsenal 7 A80 1 0 1 1
Liverpool Arsenal 4 H35 2 0 4 1
Fulham Arsenal 5 H18 2 1 2 1
Bolton Arsenal 9 A45 2 1 3 1
Chelsea Arsenal 1 A15 1 2 1 2
Man City Arsenal 10 A48 1 0 1 2