Archive for October, 2017

The Impact of the Early Home Goal in Poland EKSTRAKLASA and 1-0 Half Time Game State

Posted on: October 17th, 2017 by Jonny Grossmark

Last 20 games in Poland Ekstraklasa (regular season ) where the home team opened the scoring in the 0-10 minutes time band and 1-0 Half Time Game State ; GAME PATHWAY 4/20 1-0 FT 12/20 > 2-0 10-2-0 4/20 > 1-1 1-3-0 15-5-0 40%...

The Effect of the Early Goal in the Premier League and 0-1 Half Time Game State and the Home Fightback > 1-1 in the 46-70 Time band

Posted on: October 15th, 2017 by Jonny Grossmark

last 20 games in the PL where the away team opened the scoring in 0-20 minutes time band and 0-1 HT > 1-1 with 2nd goal in 46-70 time band ; 7-6-7 85% over 2.5 goals, 20% over 3.5 goals Premier League in games where the away team...

The Effect of the Early Home Goal in Brazil Serie A > 1-1 Pathway in the First Half

Posted on: October 13th, 2017 by Jonny Grossmark

Last 20 games in Brazil Serie A where the home team opened the scoring in the 0-10 minutes time band and > 1-1 pathway in the First Half 9-9-2 GAME PATHWAY 3/20 1-1 FT 8/20 > 2-1 7-1-0 9/20 > 1-2 2-5-2 70% ended over 3.5 goals...

Does Poisson Distribution and Expected Goal Totals (xG ) Suck as a Tool for Pricing Games of Football in Play ?

Posted on: October 11th, 2017 by Jonny Grossmark

Ever wondered how to calculate live odds for soccer betting? A Poisson calculation can be used so you can determine if the market accurately reflects on field events. Find out more. A side’s chances of a particular outcome change the moment a...

Premier League V Bundesliga : The Impact of the Early Home Goal Metric and 1-1 Game State with 70 Minutes Elapsed

Posted on: October 10th, 2017 by Jonny Grossmark

last 30 games in the PL where the home team opened the scoring in the 0-10 minutes time band and 1-1 game state with 70 minutes elapsed 10-13-7 67% ended over 2.5 goals > a MONSTER in play edge > 1/0.67 = 1/2 the betting industry on 70 in...

The Impact of the Away Team ( DOG ) opening the scoring in the Premier League Via Survival Analysis

Posted on: October 9th, 2017 by Jonny Grossmark

last 20 games in the Premier League where the away team opened the scoring in the first half and were the DOG = home team was the favourite before the game started 6-7-7 home teams won 30% > 01/10, 13:15 Everton -...

The Impact of the Early Home Goal and 1-0 Half Time Game State in Spain Segunda

Posted on: October 9th, 2017 by Jonny Grossmark

In the table below I have added the last 54 games in Spain Segunda where the home team opened the scoring in the 0-10 minutes time band and 1-0 half time game state ; 45-7-2 < home teams won 83% 1/0.83 = 1/5 > in the 2 games today at HT , the...

The impact of the Early Away Goal and 1-1 Half Time Game State in Brazil Serie B

Posted on: October 8th, 2017 by Jonny Grossmark

last 46 games in Brazil Serie B where the away team opened the scoring in the 0-20 minutes time band and 1-1 HT > 0/46 ended 2-2 23-14-9 GAME PATHWAY 14/46 1-1 FT 21/46 > 2-1 21-0-0 11/46 > 1-2 2-0-9 28% ended over 3.5 =...