Archive for March, 2017

The Effect of the Early Home Goal and 1-0 Half Time in Argentina Primera

Posted on: March 27th, 2017 by Jonny Grossmark

In the table below I have added the last 55 games in Argentina Primera ( regular season ) where the home teams opened the scoring with a goal in the 0-10 minutes time band and 38% ended over 2.5 goals 44-7-4 < the home teams won 80% 9/55...

The Effect of the Early Home goal and 1-1 Pathway in the First Half in the MLS

Posted on: March 26th, 2017 by Jonny Grossmark

If you have read the book The Numbers Game: Why Everything You Know About Football Is Wrong , you may have discovered that there were a number of errors in the book and one key theme that was offered ; "TEAMS ARE NOT VULNERABLE WHEN THEY OPEN THE...

Serie A Game State Analysis 0-1 at 20 minutes @PETENORDSTED

Posted on: March 25th, 2017 by Jonny Grossmark

Serie A Game State Analysis 0-1 at 20 minutes We continue our series with a look at the Italian Serie A. Once again we are looking at the Game State when 20 minutes have expired and it is 0-1 to the away side. The first thing to notice is as...

Laying the Draw in Play ( LTD ) V ” Trading ” the Draw in play around the effect of the time of the opening goal

Posted on: March 23rd, 2017 by Jonny Grossmark

"Goals: More goals mean more chances to trade out with a profit. You are always going to hit the odd 0-0 draw, but aim for plenty of goals and you will minimise losing trades. Recent form is a great indicator, making sure that teams you're banking...

Did you back over 3.5/4.5 goals during the Game between PSG and Lyon ?

Posted on: March 21st, 2017 by Jonny Grossmark

PSG at home in the league when conceding the opening goal 0-20 2-1 4-2 2-1 1-1 1-1 1-2 2-2 4-2 2-2 2-1 1-3 0-3 1-1 3-2 43% ended over 3.5 1/0.43 = 13/8 21% over 4.5 goals 1/0.21 = 15/4 at 0-1 over 4.5 was offered at...

Poland Ekstraklasa 0-1 Half Time Game State added to the early away Goal metric

Posted on: March 14th, 2017 by Jonny Grossmark

In the table below I have added the last 25 games in Poland Ekstraklasa ( regular season ) where the away team was winning 1-0 half time game state added to the opening goal in the 0-20 minutes time band and the away teams won the 2nd half of the...

The Effect of the 2nd Half Away Fight Back Metric in La Liga in games that are 1-0 at Half Time to the Home Team

Posted on: March 12th, 2017 by Jonny Grossmark

In the table below I have added the last 68 games in La Liga where the home team was winning 1-0 half time game state added to the 2nd half away fightback ( 1-1 ) with the 2nd goal in the 46-70 minutes time band and 71% ended over 2,5 goals ,...

Liverpool Conceding the Opening Goal at Home in the Premier League since 2003-2004 in the 0-20 minutes time band

Posted on: March 12th, 2017 by Jonny Grossmark

Liverpool since 2003-2004 at home in the Premier League have conceded the opening goal in the 0-20 time band in 19 games, 68% ended over 2.5 goals , and 26% ended over 3.5 goals. < did you back over 3.5 goals in the game against Burnley at 2-1 at...