Archive for October, 2016

The Effect of the Time of The Opening Goal in the First Half in The Premier League 2016-2017

Posted on: October 31st, 2016 by Jonny Grossmark

In the table below I have added all the games this season in the Premier League where the home team opened the scoring ( H ) or the away team opened the scoring ( A) in the first half with the final score shown as well in each one minute time band...

The Effect of the Early Away Goal in the Champions League Group Stage

Posted on: October 31st, 2016 by Jonny Grossmark

In the table below I have added all the games since 2011-2012 in the Champions League Group Stage where the away teams opened the scoring with a goal in the 0-20 minutes time band, 76% ended over 2.5 goals and 53% ended over 3.5 goals. Both...

The Rise and Fall of ( ExpG ) Expected Goal Totals as a Metric in Football Data Analysis

Posted on: October 31st, 2016 by Jonny Grossmark

When Manchester United were at home to Fulham in a game that ended 2-2  in 2014 , twitter went into meltdown because the football "data analysts" considered that United should have won the game as their ExpG was 4+   What is ExpG...

Premier League Conceding the Opening Goal at Home Table

Posted on: October 31st, 2016 by Jonny Grossmark

In the table below I have added the last 20 home games played by the  teams in the Premier League where they conceded the opening goal . If you look into the academic research into why there are so many games that end a draw in football the...

West Brom Conceding the Opening Goal at Home in the Premier League since 2004-2005 in the 0-20 minutes time band

Posted on: October 29th, 2016 by Jonny Grossmark

West Brom  since 2004-2005  at home in the Premier League have conceded the opening goal in the 0-20 time band in 39  games,  74% ended over 2.5 goals and 49% ended over 3.5 goals  Both team scored in 72% and over 1.5 goals was landed...

Are Teams Vulnerable in the Premier League to a Quick Response when they open the scoring ?

Posted on: October 29th, 2016 by Jonny Grossmark

You will often hear commentators claim that teams are more vulnerable to conceding a goal just after they have scored themselves. True or false? Peter Ayton and Anna Braennberg tested the validity of this belief. They did so by considering...

Crystal Palace Conceding the Opening Goal at Home in the Premier League 0-20 minutes since 2013-2014

Posted on: October 29th, 2016 by Jonny Grossmark

In the table below I have added the games since 2013-2014 in the Premier League where Crystal Palace conceded the opening goal at home in the 0-20 minutes time band and 62.5% ended over 2.5 goals  Palace won 12.5%, 12.5% ended a draw and they...

Sunderland Conceding the opening goal at home in the 0-20 minutes time band in the Premier League since 2005-2006

Posted on: October 29th, 2016 by Jonny Grossmark

Sunderland at home in the Premier League since 2005-2006 have conceded the opening goal in the 0-20 minutes time band in 41 games , 58.5% ended over 2.5 goals and 36.5% ended over 3.5 goals. Both teams scored in 66% and over 1.5 goals...