Archive for December, 2014

In Play Betting Strategy for the English Championship

Posted on: December 31st, 2014 by Jonny Grossmark

There is no doubt that having goal time data offers  a massive in play edge in football betting but the obvious barrier for many people is access to the data and unless you have coding skills then you will be reduced to adding the time of goals to...

Wigan v Sheffield Wednesday : The Trading Review

Posted on: December 30th, 2014 by Jonny Grossmark

If you were thinking of having a bet in the game between Wigan and Sheffield Wednesday before it started then you may have had a glance at  the head to heads and we see that the previous 3 encounters ended 0-3 1-0 and 2-1 but in terms of the...

In Play Betting/Trading Strategies around the Effect of the Early Home Goal in the Championship

Posted on: December 30th, 2014 by Jonny Grossmark

In the table below I have added all the games since last season where the home team opened the scoring 0-10 minutes in the Championship ( 81) and we see that 54/81 67% ended over 1.5 goals in the first half. In games where the home team in...

In Search of an In Play Draw Strategy in League 1

Posted on: December 29th, 2014 by Jonny Grossmark

This season in league 1 27% of games have ended a draw and last season 26% ended a draw and the season before 27% ended a draw so basically the draw has been very consistent in league 1 over the last 3 years and if you randomly backed the draw...

Updated Early Away Goal Data League 1

Posted on: December 29th, 2014 by Jonny Grossmark

I love old school music and I have Electro 1-16 but when it comes to football data analysis I have found that being old school does not cut the mustard and people who follow pre off betting strategies based around POISSON DISTRIBUTION will find it...

San Antonio Spurs v Houston Rockets In Play Betting Review Via Game State Analysis

Posted on: December 29th, 2014 by Jonny Grossmark

San Antonio Spurs were leading Houston Rockets after the 3rd quarter by 85-84 with fairly high expectation that they would win the game given the effect of the third quarter game state ( current score ). I backed them at 10/19 during the 4th...

In Play Betting Review Newcastle v Everton Via Goal Data

Posted on: December 28th, 2014 by Jonny Grossmark

When Kone opened the scoring for Everton on 5 minutes you should have had a thought process that ; 1. expectation of acceleration of goal production 2. fairly high expectation of Newcastle scoring and as a result some expectation of a fight...

Boxing Day Draw Drought

Posted on: December 27th, 2014 by Jonny Grossmark

The SotDoc Draw Master did not pick a good time to take on the Draws and they were as common as a bacon  Sandwich at a Bar Mitzvah. What is incredible is that I randomly picked 8 games and  4/8 had early goals and as a result lowered...