Archive for February, 2014

A Betting Review of Brest v Laval and Caen v Clermont

Posted on: February 28th, 2014 by Jonny Grossmark

In the Brest v Laval game and the Caen v Clermont there were 4 events that were the same in the games: 1. Early away goal ( first goal ) 2. 0-1 half time game state 3. Home teams won the second half and the game. 4. The away teams did...

Premier League Home and Away 1-0 Half Time Tables 2008-2009 – 20013-2014

Posted on: February 28th, 2014 by Jonny Grossmark

Expectation of a goal is dependent on the "conditions" in a game which include the half time game state ( score) and other variables such as the time of the goals and red card events. It is known that when a team are losing 1-0 at half time...

@SotDraw Weekend Draw Bets ( This season 198 bets and ROI 15.18%

Posted on: February 28th, 2014 by Jonny Grossmark

SotDraw is having an excellent season and after 198 draw bets the return on investment is  15.18% The simple strategy is to filter games that have expectation of a low goal production which should result in some draw bias. It is interesting...

The Trend is your Friend: The SotDoc looks at some 0-0 Half Time Game State Trends around Europe

Posted on: February 27th, 2014 by Jonny Grossmark

0-0 Half Time Game State can be very difficult to predict in terms of expectation of the outcome of the second half and below are some trends that you may be interested in although you should take into consideration that many are simply short term...

ExpG Model Stoke v Arsenal Goal Expectation Via The SotDoc Model

Posted on: February 27th, 2014 by Jonny Grossmark

Stoke 0.35*4.15 1.45 goals  Arsenal 0.32*4.73 1.51 goals The SotDoc model has expectation that Stoke will convert 35% of their 4.15 shots on target and that Arsenal will convert 32% of their 4.73 shots on target. Arsenal are 1.7 to win the...

ExpG Model Everton v West Ham Goal Expectation via the SotDoc Model

Posted on: February 27th, 2014 by Jonny Grossmark

Everton 0.23*6.26 1.44 goals  West Ham 0.28*3.10 0.87 goals The SOTDoc model which is built around expectation of total shots on target in a game and accuracy has Everton with 6.26 shots on target at a conversion rate of 23% and West Ham with...

A Betting Preview of Hendon v Bury Town : SotDoc Ryman Premier League Nap of the Weekend

Posted on: February 27th, 2014 by Jonny Grossmark

Last Weekend I was at the Wealdstone v Hendon game in the Ryman Premier League and I advised on twitter that my nap of the weekend was the draw at 7/2 and the reason was that the bookmakers had priced Wealdstone (1/2) at far too short a price...

A Review of @SOTdraw Draw BETS this season ( 198 games ROI + 15.18%)

Posted on: February 26th, 2014 by Jonny Grossmark

SOTDraw has been providing draw bets since July and below I have listed all 198 bets and   we can see that the return on investment  (ROI) has been 15.18% ( 30.05/198) and this has been an excellent performance by SOTDraw. The strategy is...