Archive for December, 2013

Bundesliga 1-1 Half Time GAME STATE and the affect on Accuracy

Posted on: December 31st, 2013 by Jonny Grossmark

* 34 games in 2012/2013 that were 1-1 at Half Time in the Bundesliga – 7 Home wins, 18 Drawn and 9 away wins . * 21 games in 2013/2014 that were 1-1 Half Time in the Bundesliga - 7 Home wins, 9 Drawn and 5 away wins * Last 55 games in the...

A Review of Chelsea v Liverpool Via Half Time Game State 2-1 and the Early Away Goal

Posted on: December 30th, 2013 by Jonny Grossmark

At Half  Time Chelsea were winning 2-1 and Liverpool scored the first goal of the game on 3 minutes so the key is how will the half time game state 2-1  and the early away goal affect the accuracy of both teams in the second half ? This season...

SOTegy Doc does Football Predictive Model Premier League Fixtures 01 January

Posted on: December 30th, 2013 by Jonny Grossmark

The Sot Doc football model based on goal expectation predicted Chelsea 0.33*5.94 1.96 goals Liverpool 0.33*4.00 1.32 goals and in the game Chelsea had 5 shots on target and Liverpool had 4 shots on target so the model was nearly spot on for that...

The affect of the Early Away Goal on Goal Production.

Posted on: December 29th, 2013 by Jonny Grossmark

When Skrtel opened the scoring for Liverpool at Chelsea today then this gave massive expectation that Chelsea would score in the game and if you were very aggressive in your betting then as soon as Liverpool scored you could have backed against...

Sot Doc Preview West Ham v West Brom

Posted on: December 27th, 2013 by Jonny Grossmark

West Ham 0.27*4.33 1.17 goals West Brom 0.29*4.00 1.16 goals There is expectation that West Ham and West Brom will have 4 shots on target. West Ham at home in the league have converted 28% of their shots on target and averaged 13.22 shots and...

Sot Doc Preview West Ham v Arsenal Via Football Data Analytics

Posted on: December 24th, 2013 by Jonny Grossmark

West Ham 0.31*3.81 1.18 goals Arsenal 0.35*4.81 1.68 goals There is expectation that West Ham will have 3/4 shots on target and that Arsenal will have 4/5 . West Ham have converted 30% of their shots on target at home in the league this season...

Sot Doc Preview of Everton v Sunderland via Football Data Analytics

Posted on: December 24th, 2013 by Jonny Grossmark

  Sot Doc Football Predictive Model based on expectation of shots on target and accuracy. Please note that all predictive models are static and cannot predict red card events, early away goals, lack of motivation, human error and change in...

Sot Doc Blog 10 for @goaladviser World Tips . Yield 41.44% (44 bets)

Posted on: December 23rd, 2013 by Jonny Grossmark

Another winning blog for the Sotdoc with a profit of  1.17 points and the Return on Investment after 44 bets (10 blogs ) is at a very healthy 41.44%.   Manchester United v West Ham  Fulham v Manchester City If Manchester United...